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Where They Stand is a nonpartisan guide to everyone running for Congress: their money, their own words and how incumbents voted. Find your ballot →
Races › Michigan › 10th District
Includes Sterling Heights, Warren, Rochester Hills, St. Clair Shores, Roseville, Eastpointe and other towns
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · general election
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Michigan, statewide23 filed with the FEC$102M raised by the field
Abdul El-Sayed · Mike Rogers · Lydia Christensen · Douglas P. Marsh · Tim Long · Walter P. Kristy
and 22 more, in the campaign’s own order. Read them in their words
FEC filings through Oct 14, 2026
Won the general election
Nov 3, 2026 · 2,506,961 votes (52.5%)
in the campaign’s own order. Read them in their words
FEC filings through Oct 22, 2026
Lost the general election
Nov 3, 2026 · 2,172,464 votes (45.5%) · 2 of 11
No published priorities shown yet
No published priorities
FEC filings through Oct 14, 2026
Lost the general election
Nov 3, 2026 · 49,503 votes (1.0%) · 3 of 11
No published priorities shown yet
No published priorities
FEC filings
Lost the general election
Nov 3, 2026 · 12,504 votes (0.3%) · 5 of 11
No published priorities shown yet
No published priorities
FEC filings
Lost the general election
Nov 3, 2026 · 26,409 votes (0.6%) · 4 of 11
No published priorities shown yet
No published priorities
FEC filings
Lost the general election
Nov 3, 2026 · 7,226 votes (0.1%) · 6 of 11
No published priorities
FEC filings through Sep 30, 2025
No published priorities
FEC filings through Jun 30, 2026
No published priorities
Held by Elissa Slotkin D (not running in the 2026 cycle) and Gary C. Peters D (not running in the 2026 cycle)
Every public poll of the Michigan Senate race this cycle, as published. A poll is a snapshot, not a forecast.
Election November 3, 2026 · 48 polls of this matchup
Abdul El-Sayed leads Mike Rogers by 5.6 points · average gap, 5 latest nonpartisan polls
10th Congressional District16 filed with the FEC$12.8M raised by the field
Christina Hines · Michael Bouchard Jr. · Mike Saliba · Mike Saliba · Andrea L. Kirby
in the campaign’s own order. Read them in their words
FEC filings through Oct 14, 2026
Won the general election
Nov 3, 2026 · 188,078 votes (52.4%)
and 4 more, in the campaign’s own order. Read them in their words
FEC filings through Oct 14, 2026
Lost the general election
Nov 3, 2026 · 162,347 votes (45.2%) · 2 of 5
No published priorities shown yet
No published priorities
FEC filings
Lost the general election
Nov 3, 2026 · 3,088 votes (0.9%) · 4 of 5
No published priorities shown yet
No published priorities
FEC filings
Lost the general election
Nov 3, 2026 · 3,088 votes (0.9%) · 4 of 5
No published priorities shown yet
No published priorities
FEC filings
Lost the general election
Nov 3, 2026 · 3,978 votes (1.1%) · 3 of 5
No published priorities
FEC filings through Sep 30, 2025
No published priorities
FEC filings through Jun 30, 2025
No published priorities
Held by John James R (not running in the 2026 cycle)
Every public poll of the MI-10 House race this cycle, as published. A poll is a snapshot, not a forecast.
No public polls
Poll data from The New York Times, licensed CC BY 4.0 · Updated November 10, 2026 · 6 polls paid for by a party or campaign are left out
$40.2M from outside groups for or against these candidates, through Nov 5, 2026.
Filing with the FEC is a disclosure, not a place on the ballot. Money raised is not a forecast.
November nominees first, then by money raised. Bars are in party color; raised includes loans from the candidate, and spent can exceed raised when a campaign spends money left from earlier cycles.
Senate: bars drawn to $53.8M, the most raised; most of this money is reported through Oct 14, 2026; the newest report runs to Oct 22, 2026.
House: bars drawn to $4.2M, the most raised; FEC reports through Oct 14, 2026.
FEC filings through Sep 30, 2026
No published priorities
FEC filings through Sep 30, 2025
No published priorities
FEC filings through May 3, 2025
No published priorities
FEC filings through Jun 30, 2026
No published priorities
FEC filings through Jun 30, 2026
No published priorities
FEC filings
No published priorities
FEC filings
No published priorities
FEC filings
No published priorities
FEC filings
No published priorities
FEC filings
No published priorities
FEC filings
No published priorities
FEC filings
No published priorities
FEC filings
No published priorities
FEC filings through Sep 30, 2026
Lost the Democratic primary
Aug 4, 2026 · 728,041 votes (47.5%) · 2 of 3
No published priorities
FEC filings through Sep 30, 2026
Lost the Democratic primary
Aug 4, 2026 · 61,411 votes (4.0%) · 3 of 3
Each dot is a poll. The line is the median of the 5 latest nonpartisan polls. How polls are read
Abdul El-Sayed won by 7 points. The 14 final polls had a median of Abdul El-Sayed +5, understating Abdul El-Sayed's margin by 2 points.
| Poll | Abdul El-Sayed | Mike Rogers | Lead | vs. result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategiesended Nov 2 | 51% | 49% | Abdul El-Sayed +2 | −5 |
| The New York Times/Siena Universityended Nov 1 | 52.6% | 41.6% | Abdul El-Sayed +11 | +4 |
| Emerson Collegeended Nov 1 | 51.2% | 45.2% | Abdul El-Sayed +6 | −1 |
| AtlasIntelended Nov 1 | 53.5% | 46.4% | Abdul El-Sayed +7.1 | +0.1 |
| Research Co.ended Nov 1 | 48% | 46% | Abdul El-Sayed +2 | −5 |
| YouGovended Oct 29 | 51% | 47% | Abdul El-Sayed +4 | −3 |
| CNN/SSRSended Oct 27 | 49% | 42% | Abdul El-Sayed +7 | 0 |
| Mitchell Research & Communicationsended Oct 27 | 51% | 44% | Abdul El-Sayed +7 | 0 |
| Data for Progressended Oct 25 | 50% | 46% | Abdul El-Sayed +4 | −3 |
| Michigan State University Office for Survey Research/Verasightended Oct 23 | 51.4% | 42.2% | Abdul El-Sayed +9.2 | +2.2 |
| InsiderAdvantageended Oct 22 | 47.2% | 46% | Abdul El-Sayed +1.2 | −5.8 |
| Glengariff Group, Inc.ended Oct 22 | 51.4% | 45.1% | Abdul El-Sayed +6.3 | −0.7 |
| Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovended Oct 19 | 48% | 45.5% | Abdul El-Sayed +2.5 | −4.5 |
| Marist Universityended Oct 18 | 50% | 48% | Abdul El-Sayed +2 | −5 |
| Median of the final polls | Abdul El-Sayed +5 | −2 | ||
| Result | 52.5% | 45.5% | Abdul El-Sayed +7 |
November 3, 2026 · Result (unofficial, 96.43% reporting) · Each pollster's last poll ending in the 21 days before the vote, read for the two leading finishers; the median leaves out polls a side paid for
Pairings that are not the race on the ballot: candidates who lost a primary or withdrew, or a party's unnamed nominee. They are not charted.
1 poll
Primary August 4, 2026 · 17 polls
Abdul El-Sayed leads Haley Stevens by 10.8 points · average gap, 4 latest nonpartisan polls · 1 far-off poll left out
Each dot is a poll. The line is the median of the 5 latest nonpartisan polls. How polls are read
Abdul El-Sayed won by 1 point. The 3 final polls had a median of Abdul El-Sayed +14, overstating Abdul El-Sayed's margin by 13 points.
| Poll | Abdul El-Sayed | Haley Stevens | Lead | vs. result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research & Communicationsended Jul 29 | 52% | 38% | Abdul El-Sayed +14 | +13 |
| Tavern Researchended Jul 27 | 46% | 36% | Abdul El-Sayed +10 | +9 |
| Emerson Collegeended Jul 27 | 57.1% | 40.8% | Abdul El-Sayed +16.3 | +15.3 |
| Median of the final polls | Abdul El-Sayed +14 | +13 | ||
| Result | 48.5% | 47.5% | Abdul El-Sayed +1 |
August 4, 2026 · Result (unofficial, 99% reporting) · Each pollster's last poll ending in the 21 days before the vote, read for the two leading finishers; the median leaves out polls a side paid for
Poll data from The New York Times, licensed CC BY 4.0 · Updated November 10, 2026 · 30 polls paid for by a party or campaign are left out
$334.9M from outside groups for or against these candidates, through Nov 5, 2026.
Independent expenditures, with 24- and 48-hour notices filed since each group’s last regular report.
FEC filings through Sep 11, 2026
No published priorities
FEC filings through Apr 13, 2026
No published priorities
FEC filings through Oct 14, 2026
No published priorities
FEC filings
No published priorities
FEC filings through Sep 30, 2026
Lost the Democratic primary
Aug 4, 2026 · 29,650 votes (29.7%) · 2 of 3
No published priorities
FEC filings through Sep 30, 2026
Lost the Democratic primary
Aug 4, 2026 · 23,307 votes (23.3%) · 3 of 3
No published priorities
FEC filings through Sep 30, 2026
Lost the Republican primary
Aug 4, 2026 · 3,676 votes (5.8%) · 3 of 4
No published priorities
FEC filings through Sep 30, 2026
Lost the Republican primary
Aug 4, 2026 · 11,388 votes (18.1%) · 2 of 4
No published priorities
FEC filings through Jul 15, 2026
Lost the Republican primary
Aug 4, 2026 · 2,430 votes (3.9%) · 4 of 4
Independent expenditures, with 24- and 48-hour notices filed since each group’s last regular report.