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Loading this candidate’s profile from the FEC filings and campaign records.
Where They Stand is a nonpartisan guide to everyone running for Congress: their money, their own words and how incumbents voted. Find your ballot →
Candidates › Michigan U.S. Senate race › 2025–2026
O Nominee for U.S. Senate, Michigan
Has not served in Congress
No campaign site or public profiles are attached to this record yet.
Douglas P. Marsh’s words are not shown
Campaign committee · 2025–2026 · latest available filing · Official FEC bulk data · committee C00875971
No receipts reported
Money groups spent on their own, not through a campaign. Each ad is filed against the candidate it names, so money attacking an opponent shows on the opponent’s row. Open a candidate to see who spent it.
Each group that spent in this race is followed to where its own money came from, and what it spent is split by those shares: a group whose money was 60% one person's counts as 60% of its spending theirs. Of what traced, 34% to named individuals, 30% to organizations, 20% to tax-exempt organizations that need not name their donors, 6.7% to committees nothing more could be followed from, 10% not itemized in the filings.
| Name | Amount |
|---|---|
| Organization · behind Winsenate and Defend the Vote | $31.7M |
| Person · CEO, Space Exploration Technologies Corp. · behind SLF PAC and America PAC and 1 more | $24.2M |
| Organization · tax-exempt: need not name its donors · behind A Stronger Michigan | $17.1M |
| Organization · tax-exempt: need not name its donors · behind SLF PAC | $11.6M |
| Organization · tax-exempt: need not name its donors · behind United Democracy Project | $8.4M |
| Person · Executive, Crownquest Operating · behind GLCF, Inc. and TFM | $8M |
| Organization · behind Winsenate and Lower Costs NOW | $6.4M |
| Organization · behind Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. DBA CVA Action & DBA Libre Action | $5.5M |
| Organization · behind Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. DBA CVA Action & DBA Libre Action | $4.8M |
| Organization · tax-exempt: need not name its donors · behind LCV Victory Fund | $4.8M |
| Person · Physician, Adelson Drug Clinic · behind SLF PAC and NO Going Back PAC Inc. | $4.6M |
| Organization · tax-exempt: need not name its donors · behind Cffe PAC and Blackpac and 2 more | $4.4M |
Read for the 20 largest groups of 151, 92% of the $334.9M spent. Shares are of what each group received, not a record of which dollar went where; an organization that need not name its donors ends the trail; a person who gave by more than one route is counted once here. It shows who stood behind the money, not what it was for.
No itemized payments
Not read yet
Lost · 12,504 votes (0.3%) · 5 of 11 · Full results ↗
Every contest for this seat that named this candidate, most recent last; a result is shown once the race is called. Election dates and results from civicAPI (civicapi.org). civicAPI aggregates results from Secretaries of State and equivalent election bodies, and makes its own race calls. civicapi.org ↗
Election November 3, 2026 · 48 polls of this matchup
Abdul El-Sayed leads Mike Rogers by 5.6 points · average gap, 5 latest nonpartisan polls
Each dot is a poll. The line is the median of the 5 latest nonpartisan polls. How polls are read
Abdul El-Sayed won by 7 points. The 14 final polls had a median of Abdul El-Sayed +5, understating Abdul El-Sayed's margin by 2 points.
| Poll | Abdul El-Sayed | Mike Rogers | Lead | vs. result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategiesended Nov 2 | 51% | 49% | Abdul El-Sayed +2 | −5 |
| The New York Times/Siena Universityended Nov 1 | 52.6% | 41.6% | Abdul El-Sayed +11 | +4 |
| Emerson Collegeended Nov 1 | 51.2% | 45.2% | Abdul El-Sayed +6 | −1 |
| AtlasIntelended Nov 1 | 53.5% | 46.4% | Abdul El-Sayed +7.1 | +0.1 |
| Research Co.ended Nov 1 | 48% | 46% | Abdul El-Sayed +2 | −5 |
| YouGovended Oct 29 | 51% | 47% | Abdul El-Sayed +4 | −3 |
| CNN/SSRSended Oct 27 | 49% | 42% | Abdul El-Sayed +7 |
Pairings that are not the race on the ballot: candidates who lost a primary or withdrew, or a party's unnamed nominee. They are not charted.
Poll data from The New York Times, licensed CC BY 4.0 · Updated November 10, 2026 · 30 polls paid for by a party or campaign are left out
The FEC counts someone as a candidate once they raise or spend more than $5,000.
Official FEC filing record for the current cycle. The priorities they publish are quoted from their own site, in their order.
No campaign pages quoted
| 0 |
| Mitchell Research & Communicationsended Oct 27 | 51% | 44% | Abdul El-Sayed +7 | 0 |
|---|
| Data for Progressended Oct 25 | 50% | 46% | Abdul El-Sayed +4 | −3 |
|---|
| Michigan State University Office for Survey Research/Verasightended Oct 23 | 51.4% | 42.2% | Abdul El-Sayed +9.2 | +2.2 |
|---|
| InsiderAdvantageended Oct 22 | 47.2% | 46% | Abdul El-Sayed +1.2 | −5.8 |
|---|
| Glengariff Group, Inc.ended Oct 22 | 51.4% | 45.1% | Abdul El-Sayed +6.3 | −0.7 |
|---|
| Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovended Oct 19 | 48% | 45.5% | Abdul El-Sayed +2.5 | −4.5 |
|---|
| Marist Universityended Oct 18 | 50% | 48% | Abdul El-Sayed +2 | −5 |
|---|
| Median of the final polls | Abdul El-Sayed +5 | −2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result | 52.5% | 45.5% | Abdul El-Sayed +7 |
November 3, 2026 · Result (unofficial, 96.43% reporting) · Each pollster's last poll ending in the 21 days before the vote, read for the two leading finishers; the median leaves out polls a side paid for