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Where They Stand is a nonpartisan guide to everyone running for Congress: their money, their own words and how incumbents voted. Find your ballot →
Races › Arkansas › U.S. Senate
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · general election
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Filing with the FEC is a disclosure, not a place on the ballot. Money raised is not a forecast.
November nominees first, then by money raised. Bars are in party color; raised includes loans from the candidate, and spent can exceed raised when a campaign spends money left from earlier cycles.
Senate: bars drawn to $7.1M, the most raised; FEC reports through Oct 14, 2026.
Arkansas, statewide9 filed with the FEC$11.4M raised by the field
Tom Cotton · Hallie Shoffner · Jeff Wadlin
and 6 more, in the campaign’s own order. Read them in their words
FEC filings through Oct 14, 2026
Won the general election
Nov 3, 2026 · 480,868 votes (54.3%)
and 9 more, in the campaign’s own order. Read them in their words
FEC filings through Oct 14, 2026
Lost the general election
Nov 3, 2026 · 375,883 votes (42.4%) · 2 of 3
No published priorities shown yet
No published priorities
FEC filings through Oct 14, 2026
Lost the general election
Nov 3, 2026 · 29,491 votes (3.3%) · 3 of 3
No published priorities
FEC filings through Feb 11, 2026
No published priorities
FEC filings through Nov 15, 2025
No published priorities
Held by John Boozman R (not running in the 2026 cycle) and Tom Cotton R (won the general election)
Every public poll of the Arkansas Senate race this cycle, as published. A poll is a snapshot, not a forecast.
Election November 3, 2026 · 3 polls of this matchup
Tom Cotton leads Hallie Shoffner by 12.5 points · average gap, 2 latest nonpartisan polls · 1 far-off poll left out
Each dot is a poll. The line is the median of the 5 latest nonpartisan polls. How polls are read
Tom Cotton won. The race has been called, but the count we have stopped at 90.13% reporting, so the polls are not measured against the margin.
| Poll | Tom Cotton | Hallie Shoffner | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College |
FEC filings through Sep 30, 2026
No published priorities
FEC filings
No published priorities
FEC filings through Mar 31, 2026
Lost the Republican primary
Mar 3, 2026 · 25,724 votes (9.1%) · 3 of 3
No published priorities
FEC filings through Mar 27, 2026
Lost the Democratic primary
Mar 3, 2026 · 28,394 votes (21.7%) · 2 of 2
| 50% |
| 41% |
| Tom Cotton +9 |
| Median of the final polls | Tom Cotton +9 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Result, 90.13% reporting | 54.3% | 42.4% | — |
November 3, 2026 · Result · Each pollster's last poll ending in the 21 days before the vote, read for the two leading finishers; the median leaves out polls a side paid for; a margin is compared once 95% is reported
Poll data from The New York Times, licensed CC BY 4.0 · Updated November 10, 2026 · 4 polls paid for by a party or campaign are left out
$5.4M from outside groups for or against these candidates, through Nov 1, 2026.
Independent expenditures, with 24- and 48-hour notices filed since each group’s last regular report.