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Loading this candidate’s profile from the FEC filings and campaign records.
Where They Stand is a nonpartisan guide to everyone running for Congress: their money, their own words and how incumbents voted. Find your ballot →
Candidates › Minnesota U.S. Senate race › 2025–2026
I No party nominee for U.S. Senate, Minnesota
Has not served in Congress
No campaign site or public profiles are attached to this record yet.
Marisa Simonetti’s words are not shown
Campaign committee · 2025–2026 · latest available filing · Official FEC bulk data
No receipts reported
Money groups spent on their own, not through a campaign. Each ad is filed against the candidate it names, so money attacking an opponent shows on the opponent’s row. Open a candidate to see who spent it.
Each group that spent in this race is followed to where its own money came from, and what it spent is split by those shares: a group whose money was 60% one person's counts as 60% of its spending theirs. Of what traced, 15% to named individuals, 67% to organizations, 9.5% to tax-exempt organizations that need not name their donors, 4% to committees nothing more could be followed from, 4.9% not itemized in the filings.
| Name | Amount |
|---|---|
| Organization · behind North Star Dawn PAC and Blue Majority Project | $13.1M |
| Organization · behind Minnesotans for Progress PAC | $1.4M |
| Organization · tax-exempt: need not name its donors · behind Center Forward Committee | $981.8K |
| Organization · tax-exempt: need not name its donors · behind Dlga | $360.5K |
| Organization · behind Minnesota Forward | $354.3K |
| Organization · tax-exempt: need not name its donors · behind AB PAC | $289.8K |
| Person · Founder, Lone Pine Capital · behind North Star Dawn PAC | $288.3K |
| Person · Founder, J. W. Childs · behind Minnesota Forward | $253.1K |
| Person · Retired · behind Sheepdog PAC | $252.2K |
| Organization · tax-exempt: need not name its donors · behind Minnesota Forward | $240.4K |
| Organization · tax-exempt: need not name its donors · behind AB PAC | $217.1K |
| Person · Real Estate, Self-Employed · behind Sheepdog PAC | $210.1K |
Read for the 18 largest groups of 41, 97% of the $27.3M spent. Shares are of what each group received, not a record of which dollar went where; an organization that need not name its donors ends the trail; a person who gave by more than one route is counted once here. It shows who stood behind the money, not what it was for.
No itemized payments
Not read yet
Lost · 41,564 votes (1.5%) · 3 of 4 · Full results ↗
Every contest for this seat that named this candidate, most recent last; a result is shown once the race is called. Election dates and results from civicAPI (civicapi.org). civicAPI aggregates results from Secretaries of State and equivalent election bodies, and makes its own race calls. civicapi.org ↗
Election November 3, 2026 · 16 polls of this matchup
Peggy Flanagan leads Michele Tafoya by 5.3 points · average gap, 5 latest nonpartisan polls
Each dot is a poll. The line is the median of the 5 latest nonpartisan polls. How polls are read
Peggy Flanagan won by 10.1 points. The 6 final polls had a median of Peggy Flanagan +6, understating Peggy Flanagan's margin by 4.1 points.
| Poll | Peggy Flanagan | Michele Tafoya | Lead | vs. result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey 160ended Nov 1 | 52% | 43% | Peggy Flanagan +9 | −1.1 |
| Research Co.ended Nov 1 | 48% | 43% | Peggy Flanagan +5 | −5.1 |
| AtlasIntelended Nov 1 | 48.1% | 45.7% | Peggy Flanagan +2.4 | −7.7 |
| InsiderAdvantageended Oct 30 | 49.3% | 46.4% | Peggy Flanagan +2.9 | −7.2 |
| SurveyUSAended Oct 28 | 48% | 41% | Peggy Flanagan +7 | −3.1 |
| The New York Times/Siena Universityended Oct 26 | 54.2% | 40.3% | Peggy Flanagan +13.9 | +3.8 |
| Median of the final polls | Peggy Flanagan +6 | −4.1 | ||
| Result | 53.7% |
Pairings that are not the race on the ballot: candidates who lost a primary or withdrew, or a party's unnamed nominee. They are not charted.
Poll data from The New York Times, licensed CC BY 4.0 · Updated November 10, 2026 · 16 polls paid for by a party or campaign are left out
The FEC counts someone as a candidate once they raise or spend more than $5,000.
Official FEC filing record for the current cycle. The priorities they publish are quoted from their own site, in their order.
No campaign pages quoted
| 43.6% |
| Peggy Flanagan +10.1 |
November 3, 2026 · Result (unofficial, 99% reporting) · Each pollster's last poll ending in the 21 days before the vote, read for the two leading finishers; the median leaves out polls a side paid for