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Loading this candidate’s profile from the FEC filings and campaign records.
Where They Stand is a nonpartisan guide to everyone running for Congress: their money, their own words and how incumbents voted. Find your ballot →
Candidates › KY-04 race › 2025–2026
RepublicanU.S. House, KY-04Kentucky
Has not served in Congress
No campaign site or public profiles are attached to this record yet.
Nicole Lee Ethington’s words are not shown
Campaign committee · 2025–2026 · latest available filing · Official FEC bulk data · committee C00900274
No receipts reported
Money groups spent on their own, not through a campaign. Each ad is filed against the candidate it names, so money attacking an opponent shows on the opponent’s row. Open a candidate to see who spent it.
Each group that spent in this race is followed to where its own money came from, and what it spent is split by those shares: a group whose money was 60% one person's counts as 60% of its spending theirs. Of what traced, 35% to named individuals, 46% to organizations, 8.7% to tax-exempt organizations that need not name their donors, 10% not itemized in the filings.
| Name | Amount |
|---|---|
| Organization · behind Kentucky 4TH PAC | $6.7M |
| Person · President, Elliott Management Corp. · behind Maga KY and United Democracy Project | $3.1M |
| Organization · behind RJC Victory Fund | $2.6M |
| Person · Managing Director, SIG · behind Kentucky First PAC | $1.2M |
| Organization · tax-exempt: need not name its donors · behind United Democracy Project | $1.1M |
| Organization · tax-exempt: need not name its donors · behind Make Liberty Win | $803.7K |
| Organization · behind Maga KY | $687.8K |
| Person · Co-Chief CEO, Elliott Management Corp. · behind Maga KY | $687.8K |
| Person · Retired · behind RJC Victory Fund | $407.2K |
| Person · President, Paulson & Co Inc · behind Maga KY | $344.4K |
| Organization · behind Defeating Communism PAC and Hold the Line PAC | $325.4K |
| Person · Partner, The Blackstone Group · behind Maga KY | $275.1K |
Read for the 10 largest groups of 11, 99.6% of the $26.3M spent. Shares are of what each group received, not a record of which dollar went where; an organization that need not name its donors ends the trail; a person who gave by more than one route is counted once here. It shows who stood behind the money, not what it was for.
No itemized payments
Not read yet
No ballot result matched to this candidate
Primary May 19, 2026 · 7 polls
Ed Gallrein leads Thomas Massie by 3.4 points · average gap, 4 latest nonpartisan polls · 1 far-off poll left out
Each dot is a poll. The line is the median of the 5 latest nonpartisan polls. How polls are read
Ed Gallrein won by 9.8 points. The 4 final polls had a median of Ed Gallrein +3.5, understating Ed Gallrein's margin by 6.3 points.
| Poll | Ed Gallrein | Thomas Massie | Lead | vs. result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GrayHouseended May 17 | 51% | 44% | Ed Gallrein +7 | −2.8 |
| Neighborhood Research Corporationended May 15 | 39% | 39% | Tied | −9.8 |
| Big Data Pollended May 14 · led with the loser | 49.4% | 50.6% | Thomas Massie +1.2 | −11 |
| Quantus Insightsended May 12 | 52.8% | 45.1% | Ed Gallrein +7.7 | −2.1 |
| Median of the final polls | Ed Gallrein +3.5 | −6.3 | ||
| Result | 54.9% | 45.1% | Ed Gallrein +9.8 |
May 19, 2026 · Result (unofficial, 99% reporting) · Each pollster's last poll ending in the 21 days before the vote, read for the two leading finishers; the median leaves out polls a side paid for
Poll data from The New York Times, licensed CC BY 4.0 · Updated November 10, 2026
The FEC counts someone as a candidate once they raise or spend more than $5,000.
Official FEC filing record for the current cycle. The priorities they publish are quoted from their own site, in their order.
No campaign pages quoted